Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 53%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 12 Jan 2026, the highest close was 64.5% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 53% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 53% on 12 Jan 2026. $6.77K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 12 Jan 2026, chart shows 50%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 64.5% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 53.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sicko-el10 | No | 2K |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| Athletic-Sender | No | 453.64 |
| AndreiB | No | 59.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xabi Alonso ceases to be the manager of Real Madrid for any length of time between January 6, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Xabi Alonso's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Real Madrid and/or Xabi Alonso, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xabi-alonso-out-as-real-madrid-manager-in-2026
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