Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 13 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 17 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 24% on 14 Feb 2026. $16.61K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 15 points · 13 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | 4.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| obamasbbc | Yes | 985.1 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 164 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| MistahFox | Yes | 100 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 60 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| Minor-Commander | Yes | 45 |
| haoshaui | Yes | 40 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 32 |
| PX5300 | Yes | 26.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met on February 27, 2026: - Epstein Data Set 13 not released - Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. Epstein Data Set 13 not released This market will resolve to "No" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered. A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures). 2. Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000 This market will resolve to "No" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJI) on the specified date is not at least 50000. If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the specified day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. If DJI does not trade at all during the regular session of the specified date, the most recent closing price will be used. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-bondi-parlay-feb-27
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