Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 45% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 16 Mar 2026, the highest close was 57% on 12 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 43.5% on 28 Feb 2026.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 3:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 16 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 45.0% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| singularityman | Yes | 463.59 |
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 254.13 |
| reyeyjhffdhg | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tua Tagovailoa of the Miami Dolphins is traded to any other team before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 2026-2027 NFL regular season will have started once the first snap has taken place in any 2026-2027 NFL regular season game. If Tua Tagovailoa is released, retires, is not on an NFL roster as of the resolution date, or otherwise remains on the Dolphins through the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Miami Dolphins; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tua-tagovailoa-traded-by-next-season
| Yes |
| 100 |
| fang1957 | Yes | 80 |
| Sparkling-Rope | Yes | 40 |
| TheFinalPercent | Yes | 10 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| pv34 | Yes | 10 |
| 3umf | Yes | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
