Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 43.5%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 10 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 88.5% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 34% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 75.5% on 28 Jan 2026. $75.36K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 27, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 10 Jan 2026 – 25 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 88.5% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | No | 2K |
| 666666ryyruww | No | 727.21 |
| Athletic-Sender | No | 388.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Venezuela. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Venezuela or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy in Venezuela will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-embassy-in-venezuela-reopen-by-march-31
| No |
| 350 |
| LukeAlpha | No | 300 |
| yeraygon | No | 222.22 |
| asfdt22 | No | 189.12 |
| vvv178 | No | 175.78 |
| betexxon | No | 138 |
| ludopaton | Yes | 130 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
