Analytics
Cosmic Beacon 53C3 is down $39.99K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.07K | $0.931 | $1.03K | +$32.42 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 04:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
23 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 05:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 05:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-23 13:48 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $95.41K and losing ones cost $66.05K across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $26.25K on “Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.9K on “Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner” (BoomBoys).
It has traded 519 markets. Its open positions are worth $6.83K across 23 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.15K |
| $0.869 |
| $1.03K |
| +$30.36 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.459 | $749.45 | +$239.45 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | Yes | 3.78K | $0.211 | $699.45 | -$100.55 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 624.16 | $0.721 | $508.69 | +$58.69 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 432.68 | $0.693 | $404.55 | +$104.55 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 400.22 | $0.937 | $392.81 | +$17.81 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.196 | $354.76 | +$154.77 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 370.37 | $0.540 | $350 | +$150 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.16K | $0.160 | $312.31 | -$353.24 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | Yes | 3.53K | $0.141 | $229.7 | -$270.3 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 3.72K | $0.322 | $122.85 | -$1.08K |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 454.55 | $0.220 | $111.36 | +$11.36 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 3.91K | $0.102 | $87.87 | -$312.12 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 500 | $0.200 | $87.5 | -$12.5 |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 366.07 | $0.273 | $86.03 | -$13.97 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.094 | $72.07 | -$77.93 |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 666.95 | $0.300 | $63.36 | -$136.64 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.63K | $0.108 | $62.52 | -$437.48 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.300 | $38.33 | -$61.67 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.131 | $28.65 | -$121.35 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 40 | $0.250 | $1.58 | -$8.42 |
 Will two people dissent the December Fed decision? | Yes | 4.12 | $0.243 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
