Analytics
Yes is at 8.2%, down 8.7 points from 16.9% when the market opened on 31 Jul 2026.
Across the 87 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24.3% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 7.1% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.6%; a month before, 15.2%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 14.4% on 23 Sep 2026.
2 ranks third of the 5 outcomes in “How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?”. 0 leads at 61.5%; 1 is at 22.6%.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.5K since listing. The order book holds $4.28K, with a 12.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 265 trades, $337.16 bought Yes and $1.37K bought No.
The largest Yes position is AiBird with 520 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 90.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 9 Dec 2026, 42 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 16.9% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.06K |
| AiBird | Yes | 520 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 130.05 |
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-december-fed-meeting-20260730000304473
| cigarettes |
| No |
| 120 |
| haouibao | Yes | 110 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 100.66 |
| ACara | Yes | 45 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 44.88 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 36 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
