Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 3.5 points from 11% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
Across the 245 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 5 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.5%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 21.5% on 3 Feb 2026.
December ranks second of the 4 outcomes in “Bitcoin best month in 2026?”. August leads at 87.3%; November is at 4.5%.
$9.03 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $40.76K since listing. The order book holds $6.91K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $258.31 bought Yes and $7.86K bought No; the largest was a $1.16K buy of No at 82.0¢.
The largest Yes position is mrtrump with 3.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 12.9K. Ten wallets hold 83.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 245 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 11.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.93K |
| Royal Maven 3CAD | No | 4.76K |
| mrtrump | Yes | 3.84K |
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-best-month-in-2026
| trabzon |
| Yes |
| 2.82K |
| cc416 | Yes | 1.7K |
| guy-who-knows | Yes | 1.62K |
| POLO | Yes | 1K |
| lugosix | Yes | 799.99 |
| Opulent-Panpipe | Yes | 774.05 |
| Rectangular-Audit | Yes | 666.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
