Latest trade
Apr 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:08 AM UTC.
Analytics
falvon is down $184.35 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 8 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:08 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 34 trades covered 22 markets; 79.4% were buys. They run from Jan 16, 2026 UTC to Apr 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 117.65 | $0.170 | $4.24 | -$15.76 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 77.47 | $0.120 | $9.3 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-16 13:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 03:08 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
34 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 03:08 UTC
polymarket positions
9 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-16 13:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $38.23 and losing ones cost $40.74 across 8 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $28.2 on “US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?” (Yes); the largest loss, $31.33 on “Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Apr 2026. It has traded 22 markets. Its open positions are worth $10.46 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 80.4 |
| $0.124 |
| $3.26 |
| -$6.74 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 71.44 | $0.140 | $2.96 | -$7.04 |
| buy |
| 71.43 |
| $0.140 |
| $10 |
| Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.088 | $6.77 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.130 | $9.28 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20.03 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | sell | 118.91 | $0.051 | $6.04 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 66.89 | $0.299 | $20 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.250 | $27.78 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.270 | $30 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.022 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Yes | buy | 423.97 | $0.259 | $110 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.47K | $0.012 | $29.67 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
 Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?No | buy | 21.52 | $0.976 | $21 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | buy | 118.92 | $0.084 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?No | sell | 330 | $0.036 | $11.88 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.038 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 189.47 | $0.950 | $180 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.038 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.049 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.024 | $40 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.014 | $3 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 30.76 | $0.033 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 777.78 | $0.027 | $21 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.