Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 18 Feb 2026, the highest close was 100% on 10 Feb 2026 and the lowest 88.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 94.5% on 22 Jan 2026. $2.17M traded over the market's life.
193 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 19, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 18 Feb 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 88.5% |
| 18 Feb 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kamoshirenai | No | 145.32K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 112.58K |
| 89ito | No | 52.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Prime Minister of Japan, as a result of this election. This market will resolve to Sanae Takaichi if she remains Prime Minister as a result of this election. Any other individual must be formally appointed by the Japanese Emperor to qualify. If the results of this election are not officially released by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/prime-minister-of-japan-after-snap-election
| No |
| 12.1K |
| TungstenTamaki | No | 10.22K |
| neutralwave23 | No | 9.48K |
| Powerful-Civilian | No | 8.13K |
| KenKAM | No | 6.03K |
| Devoted-Route | No | 5.88K |
| jamesbond7 | No | 5.41K |
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