Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 12% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 23 Feb 2026, the highest close was 35.5% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 23 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 35.5% on 9 Jan 2026. $654.45K traded over the market's life.
282 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 4:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 23 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 12.0% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 225.38K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 8.4K |
| chikars | Yes | 6.04K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-684
| Yes |
| 6.04K |
| Frivolous-Counterforce | Yes | 5.21K |
| goldeye | Yes | 4.87K |
| Impractical-Astronomy | Yes | 4.65K |
| Able-Cormorant | Yes | 3.21K |
| Sui7611 | Yes | 2.68K |
| Selfish-Embryo | Yes | 2.37K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
