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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.23K | $0.620 | $1.53K | -$467.74 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 563.82 | $0.653 | $368.13 | Jul 3, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 563.82 |
| $0.709 |
| $400 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.23K | $0.620 | $2K | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.790 | $118.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 924.53 | $0.013 | $12.02 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.013 | $66.42 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.024 | $24.01 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $288 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?No | buy | 49.34 | $0.879 | $43.38 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.983 | $49.15 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.991 | $99.1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.380 | $114 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.995 | $1.49K | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 292.16 | $0.910 | $265.87 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.995 | $1.99K | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.230 | $92 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Bolsonaro guilty?Yes | buy | 22.97 | $0.810 | $18.61 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 North Korea x South Korea military clash by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.995 | $995 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.984 | $14.69 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 385.18 | $0.920 | $354.37 | May 20, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 240.48 | $0.832 | $200 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 24.96 | $0.991 | $24.74 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.952 | $57.12 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.820 | $328 | May 6, 2025 |
 Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)Inter Milan | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | May 6, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 1.79K | $0.540 | $964.09 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?No | sell | 53.38 | $0.982 | $52.41 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.940 | $6.35 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.630 | $1.58K | Mar 11, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 600 | $0.620 | $372 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 600 | $0.620 | $372 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 350 | $0.610 | $213.5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.620 | $124 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.620 | $124 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Lula out before April?No | buy | 796.57 | $0.940 | $748.78 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.993 | $993 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerGukesh | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 295.89 | $0.991 | $293.23 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerGukesh | buy | 53.57 | $0.700 | $37.5 | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.850 | $127.5 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 86.78 | $0.830 | $72.03 | Nov 25, 2024 |