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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.24K | $0.139 | $324.27 | +$14.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | 25d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 916.03 |
| $0.218 |
| $82.44 |
| -$117.56 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10.93 | +$0.93 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10.83 | +$0.83 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.32 | +$0.32 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.07 | +$0.07 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $9.95 | -$0.05 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.57 | $0.737 | $9.36 | -$0.64 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5.55 | +$0.55 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 454.55 | $0.011 | $1.14 | -$3.86 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2K | $0.005 | $1 | -$9 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.967 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 19.88 | $0.503 | $0.74 | -$9.26 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
| buy |
| 2.17K |
| $0.138 |
| $300 |
| 25d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.017 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.46 | $0.381 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.5 | $0.290 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.89 | $0.132 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.731 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.12K | $0.052 | $110 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Yes | buy | 389.62 | $0.257 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Yes | buy | 526.41 | $0.190 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 19.41 | $0.519 | $10.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.278 | $1.09 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 26.22 | $0.500 | $13.11 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 14.97 | $0.950 | $14.22 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 522.11 | $0.028 | $14.43 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.024 | $15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 11.68 | $0.863 | $10.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 250 | $0.470 | $117.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.780 | $5.49 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.220 | $10.47 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 23.72 | $0.422 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.78 | $0.782 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?Yes | sell | 175.27 | $0.002 | $0.35 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?Yes | buy | 288.57 | $0.035 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by July 31?Yes | buy | 291.43 | $0.034 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 522.12 | $0.019 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.052 | $110 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 11.68 | $0.856 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-22?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo AcostaAlexander Bublik | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-22?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Arthur RinderknechSebastian Baez | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.255 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by July 31?Yes | buy | 359.17 | $0.028 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by July 31?Yes | buy | 539.6 | $0.019 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 250 | $0.440 | $110 | Jul 22, 2026 |