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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.920 | $15.64 | 18d ago |
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| sell |
| 16 |
| $0.986 |
| $15.78 |
| 18d ago |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.972 | $16.52 | 18d ago |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.981 | $16.68 | 18d ago |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | 18d ago |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.951 | $18.07 | 18d ago |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.955 | $18.15 | 18d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.962 | $18.28 | 18d ago |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 18.8 | $0.982 | $18.46 | 18d ago |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.998 | $18.96 | 18d ago |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 27 | $0.967 | $26.11 | 18d ago |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 41 | $0.978 | $40.08 | 18d ago |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 38 | $0.981 | $37.28 | 18d ago |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 28 | $0.988 | $27.67 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 43 | $0.976 | $41.97 | 18d ago |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 44 | $0.976 | $42.94 | 18d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 62.6 | $0.960 | $60.1 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 18 | $0.978 | $17.6 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.957 | $17.23 | Feb 6, 2026 |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.910 | $17.29 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 19 | $0.994 | $18.89 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 19 | $0.994 | $18.89 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.880 | $16.72 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.985 | $16.75 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.958 | $16.29 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.850 | $15.3 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.976 | $16.59 | Jan 22, 2026 |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.944 | $15.1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.950 | $18.05 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.997 | $18.94 | Jan 16, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.790 | $13.43 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.972 | $17.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.945 | $15.12 | Jan 13, 2026 |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.979 | $15.66 | Jan 12, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 18.8 | $0.980 | $18.42 | Jan 10, 2026 |
US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 14 | $0.943 | $13.2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.6 | $0.940 | $11.84 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 105 | $0.997 | $104.69 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.998 | $108.78 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 102 | $0.998 | $101.8 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.998 | $108.78 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 93 | $0.995 | $92.54 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 110 | $0.995 | $109.45 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 90 | $0.995 | $89.55 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.995 | $108.46 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 109 | $0.987 | $107.62 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 109 | $0.990 | $107.91 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 105 | $0.987 | $103.64 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 105 | $0.991 | $104.05 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | sell | 115 | $0.990 | $113.85 | Nov 27, 2025 |