Latest trade
Aug 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:04 AM UTC.
Analytics
ariaor is down $446.75 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:04 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 56.0% were buys. They run from Aug 24, 2025 UTC to Aug 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 108.66 | $0.276 | $20.1 | -$9.9 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.360 | $12.86 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 11:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 04:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 04:04 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 11:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $550.82 and losing ones cost $480.07 across the latest 50 settled positions. 26% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $263.33 on “Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?” (Yes); the largest loss, $50 on “Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Aug 2026. It has traded 115 markets. Its open positions are worth $43.24 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 12.35 |
| $0.810 |
| $11.42 |
| +$1.42 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 151.52 | $0.066 | $5.76 | -$4.24 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $3.24 | -$6.76 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 113.64 | $0.088 | $2.73 | -$7.27 |
| sell |
| 14.92 |
| $0.780 |
| $11.64 |
| Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.84 | $0.794 | $10.99 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.85 | $0.722 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 10.58 | $0.975 | $10.32 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 10.63 | $0.980 | $10.42 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Yes | sell | 11.75 | $0.890 | $10.46 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Yes | buy | 11.75 | $0.851 | $10 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 11.49 | $0.930 | $10.69 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.930 | $0.2 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.930 | $14.3 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 12.42 | $0.930 | $11.55 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.066 | $10 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 8.54 | $0.920 | $7.86 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.920 | $3.5 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 3.66 | $0.820 | $3 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.088 | $10 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.430 | $33.08 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 32.71 | $0.250 | $8.18 | Nov 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 107.01 | $0.250 | $26.75 | Nov 17, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ETUp | buy | 1.18K | $0.999 | $1.18K | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ETUp | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9PM ETUp | sell | 108.75 | $0.990 | $107.66 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9PM ETUp | buy | 108.75 | $0.920 | $100 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Yes | sell | 526.31 | $0.080 | $42.1 | Oct 21, 2025 UTC |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.210 | $23.31 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Bybit insolvent in 2025?Yes | buy | 275.82 | $0.036 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 139.72 | $0.072 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.650 | $24.07 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.900 | $13.23 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.870 | $17.75 | Sep 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 232.32 | $0.430 | $100 | Sep 4, 2025 UTC |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Aug 24, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.