Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 29 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 127 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 18 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 52.5% on 18 Sep 2025. $165.14K traded over the market's life.
157 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 127 points, 29 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 51.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 4.71K |
| PCMTest | Yes | 2K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 879 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-abstract-launch-a-token-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 529.88 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 409.98 |
| tojjj | Yes | 371.16 |
| brahama | Yes | 346.43 |
| JTXEXE | Yes | 283.33 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 253.99 |
| ariaor | Yes | 232.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
