Analytics
Yes is at 3.4%, down 47 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 112 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 28 Jun 2026 and the lowest 3.4% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.2%; a month before, 53%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 41.5% on 14 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will Abstract launch a token by ___?”.
$19.81K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $9.94K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Nibiru2 with 3.7K shares; the largest No position is zisone with 8.2K. Ten wallets hold 92.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 112 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-abstract-launch-a-token-in-2025
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 970.98 |
| SuSuDORIS | Yes | 606.25 |
| Iltubabbo63 | No | 532.86 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 497.16 |
| melody233 | No | 466.18 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 462.54 |
| serhx | No | 267.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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