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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2.41 | $0.829 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
![]() |
| No |
| 2.2 |
| $0.908 |
| $2.12 |
| +$0.12 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? | No | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 1.04 |
| $0.958 |
| $1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.774 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.937 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.906 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
GPT ads by March 31?No | buy | 19.01 | $0.053 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.123 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
ICE shooter charged by March 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |