Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 34.5% on 11 Jan 2026 and the low 0.3% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 23% on 18 Jan 2026. $608.04K traded over the market's life.
305 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 83 points · 9 Jan 2026 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 24.5% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WongKimArk | Yes | 13K |
| AllByMyseIf | Yes | 11.28K |
| scottilicious | Yes | 11.25K |
| tetrose | Yes | 10.99K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active ICE officer at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ice-shooter-charged-by-march-31
| Cobito | Yes | 4.58K |
| SagiNahor | Yes | 4.58K |
| Known-Stock | Yes | 4K |
| sm1234 | Yes | 3.29K |
| Firm-Tailbud | Yes | 3K |
| lissartter | Yes | 1.5K |
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