Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit Russia before July?Yes | buy | 445.18 | $0.173 | $77 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 483.87 |
| $0.310 |
| $150 |
| Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 305.41 | $0.049 | $15 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 302.21 | $0.033 | $10 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will no new pope be elected in 2025?Yes | buy | 147.13 | $0.340 | $50 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.380 | $40 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8?Yes | buy | 112.34 | $0.089 | $10 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.048 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'mandate' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.036 | $5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit Russia before July?Yes | buy | 124.11 | $0.322 | $40 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 103 | $0.290 | $29.87 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 49.4 | $0.607 | $30 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 61.54 | $0.650 | $40 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.310 | $30 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Peace' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 100.67 | $0.298 | $30 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'terrible' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'retard' or 'retarded' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 583.99 | $0.014 | $8 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Solana hit $190 in March?No | sell | 348.93 | $0.646 | $225.32 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?Yes | buy | 164.26 | $0.183 | $30 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 365.06 | $0.190 | $69.36 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Solana above $145 on March 7?No | sell | 479.95 | $0.540 | $259.17 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Solana hit $190 in March?No | buy | 348.93 | $0.287 | $100.19 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | sell | 475.27 | $0.211 | $100.19 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Solana above $145 on March 7?No | buy | 133.85 | $0.130 | $17.4 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 126.74 | $0.090 | $11.41 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Leon Draisaitl win the Hart Trophy?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.500 | $5.88 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Solana above $145 on March 7?No | buy | 346.11 | $0.133 | $46 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 78.18 | $0.550 | $43 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.630 | $28 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 103.33 | $0.300 | $31 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Trump orders U.S. prisoners to El Salvador before April?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.026 | $30 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | buy | 193.55 | $0.310 | $60 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 291.67 | $0.240 | $70 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | buy | 212.12 | $0.330 | $70 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be $15-20b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 378.08 | $0.004 | $1.51 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?Yes | buy | 688.67 | $0.102 | $70 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?Yes | sell | 358 | $0.890 | $318.62 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Feb 1, 2025 |