Will Trump visit Gaza in first 100 days?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 30, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$272.1K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 30, 2025 UTC

Topic roomIran–Israel Trump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 82 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 9.5% on 8 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. $272.13K traded over the market's life.

52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 1, 12:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Feb 2025	9.5%
30 Apr 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Normal-Logo	Yes	2.37K
Naor1060	Yes	206.67
nfza	Yes	112.12

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip between February 6, and April 29, 2025 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including visits to buffer zones. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.