
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 18 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 54.1% on 2 Mar 2025 and the low 0.1% on 7 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 54.1% on 2 Mar 2025. $22.8K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 2:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 18 Jan 2025 – 7 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | 39.5% |
| 7 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the outcomes of SpaceX's Starship Flight Test 8.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tUnbnm7OKCw
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-8
| redflaged | No | 0.02 |
| low.iq.games | No | 0.02 |
| epstes | No | 0.01 |
| dolmil | No | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page