Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 457.44 | $0.910 | $447.15 | +$30.88 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 457.44 | $0.910 | $416.27 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 416.27 |
| $0.987 |
| $410.86 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.965 | $10.62 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.970 | $38.8 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 21.99 | $0.968 | $21.29 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 94 | $0.940 | $88.36 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Melania Trump be deported?No | buy | 105 | $0.998 | $104.79 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 6 | $0.962 | $5.77 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 15 | $0.900 | $13.5 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | May 2, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 75 | $0.940 | $70.5 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 19 | $0.940 | $17.86 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.970 | $5.82 | Mar 23, 2025 |
 US congress stock trading ban in Trump's first 100 days?No | sell | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 20.77 | $0.991 | $20.58 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Mircea Geoană advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No | sell | 25 | $0.972 | $24.3 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?No | sell | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?No | sell | 25.02 | $0.975 | $24.39 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Tate Buy a Gold Card?No | sell | 25.01 | $0.975 | $24.38 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 26.06 | $0.993 | $25.88 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 30.63 | $0.935 | $28.64 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?No | sell | 28.87 | $0.937 | $27.05 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No | sell | 37.42 | $0.951 | $35.57 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No | sell | 99.1 | $0.910 | $90.21 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.980 | $24.51 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 40.02 | $0.927 | $37.08 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate extradited to Romania before May?No | sell | 49.08 | $0.967 | $47.47 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No | sell | 25 | $0.975 | $24.38 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will Mircea Geoană advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No | sell | 25 | $0.974 | $24.35 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?No | sell | 69.98 | $0.903 | $63.19 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?No | sell | 40 | $0.966 | $38.64 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?No | sell | 76.91 | $0.898 | $69.05 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before July?No | sell | 82.08 | $0.903 | $74.12 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 24.91 | $0.981 | $24.45 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.961 | $3.92 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 14.05 | $0.964 | $13.54 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 82.95 | $0.963 | $79.89 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No | sell | 22.97 | $0.989 | $22.72 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?No | sell | 99.13 | $0.953 | $94.42 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 5 | $0.967 | $4.84 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 25 | $0.973 | $24.33 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 89.97 | $0.510 | $45.88 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign 15-19 executive orders in March?No | sell | 48.94 | $0.910 | $44.54 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?No | sell | 59.92 | $0.935 | $56.03 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?No | sell | 24.38 | $0.984 | $23.99 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?No | sell | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.903 | $18.04 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.908 | $5.45 | Mar 19, 2025 |