Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.4%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 19 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 19 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 22.8% on 28 Jan 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 31 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 7.9% on 29 Jan 2025. $298.74K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 19 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | 7.5% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 5.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50.93K |
| Fartard | Yes | 10.07K |
| ebosh.papa | Yes | 1.05K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 985 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the $TRUMP 1 minute candle for February 1, 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” FDV of between $15,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $20,000,000,000 (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute price candles for $TRUMP available at https://dexscreener.com/solana/a8nphpcjqtqhdquk35uj9hy2ysgxfkczgunwvkd3k7vc, viewed by clicking Price and 1m on the top row of the chart, when multiplied by the total supply.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-fdv-on-february-1
| KangZeta | Yes | 250 |
| GamblerNZ | Yes | 100 |
| XenonMarket | Yes | 42.65 |
| CharlesHIHI | No | 0.04 |
| vlondemone | No | 0.02 |
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