Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $11.7 | +$1.7 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.750 | $8.35 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 |
| No |
| 10.71 |
| $0.840 |
| $9.96 |
| +$0.96 |
| buy |
| 11.9 |
| $0.840 |
| $10 |
| Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 11.48 | $0.871 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.917 | $12.51 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 10.5 | $0.952 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 9.74 | $0.930 | $9.06 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Saudi PM events on November 18?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "F-35" during Saudi PM events on November 18?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No | sell | 14.92 | $0.973 | $14.52 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | sell | 15.17 | $0.959 | $14.55 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 9.66 | $0.870 | $8.4 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.94 | $0.955 | $20 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberNo | buy | 10.8 | $0.650 | $7.02 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | buy | 21.21 | $0.330 | $7 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionYes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.47 | $0.810 | $10.91 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 19.16 | $0.261 | $5 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.72 | $0.640 | $7.5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.930 | $6.45 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.79 | $0.860 | $11 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?No | buy | 11.66 | $0.760 | $8.86 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.767 | $10 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.760 | $2.72 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say Political violence during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?Yes | sell | 12.98 | $0.997 | $12.94 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.440 | $9.78 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?No | buy | 16.45 | $0.550 | $9.05 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.840 | $9 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say Charlie/Kirk 25+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.997 | $14.24 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?No | buy | 28.86 | $0.347 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.941 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say Jesus during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say Charlie/Kirk 25+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say Political violence during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |