Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 24.49 | $0.997 | $24.42 | Jan 20, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 6.12 |
| $0.997 |
| $6.1 |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.987 | $1.42 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.988 | $1.4 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.973 | $2.52 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.976 | $2.5 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Doodles token announcement in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.07 | $0.150 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Abstract token launch by January 31?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.420 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.240 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.470 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.470 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 OpenSea token announcement in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.696 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.550 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.989 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.380 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.991 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.540 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.660 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.930 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Berachain launch in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.925 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.890 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.710 | $0.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.29 | $0.034 | $0.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.91 | $0.011 | $0.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.130 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.190 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will $cult launch in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Sonic launch before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.890 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.988 | $0.02 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.910 | $0.03 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.992 | $0.02 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.992 | $0.02 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.590 | $0.01 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will $cult launch in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.736 | $0.02 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.910 | $0.04 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Solana above $200 on November 15?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.960 | $0.02 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.951 | $0.03 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.380 | $0.01 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.660 | $0.02 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.320 | $0.01 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win North Dakota Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.984 | $0.04 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.997 | $0.02 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.994 | $0.02 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.609 | $0.05 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 0.51 | $0.039 | $0.02 | Oct 24, 2024 |