Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.095 | $94.87 | -$5.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 370.37 |
| $0.270 |
| $89.07 |
| -$10.93 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 526.32 | $0.190 | $41.84 | -$58.16 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 303.03 | $0.033 | $5.76 | -$4.24 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.440 | $2.75 | -$19.25 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $1.97 | -$8.03 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $1.42 | -$8.58 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.130 | $0.17 | -$1.13 |
| buy |
| 64.52 |
| $0.310 |
| $20 |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 139.6 | $0.143 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes | buy | 77.31 | $0.230 | $17.78 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 256.41 | $0.780 | $200 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AprilSomething | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 98.21 | $0.316 | $31 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.056 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 78.43 | $0.510 | $40 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes | buy | 49.88 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3AM ETDown | buy | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.095 | $100 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.033 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.333 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?Yes | buy | 69.52 | $0.144 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will "Diet" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)Yes | buy | 20 | $0.327 | $6.55 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,250,000 and 14,500,000?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.220 | $1.55 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.86 | $0.096 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 139.73 | $0.716 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 23.18 | $0.043 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 73.05 | $0.137 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 North Korea missile launch by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jan 11, 2026 |