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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.327 | $280 | -$310 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 4h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.33 |
| $0.430 |
| $1.17 |
| +$0.17 |
 Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.24 | $0.805 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | No | 1.59 | $0.630 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.020 | $0.73 | -$0.28 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.73 | -$0.28 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.57 | -$0.44 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.075 | $0.51 | -$0.49 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | Yes | 19.34 | $0.052 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.150 | $0.4 | -$0.36 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
 AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.600 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 1.59 |
| $0.630 |
| $1 |
| 17h ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.720 | $1.22 | 17h ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.805 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 5d ago |
| AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?Down | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsChicago White Sox | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 10d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.480 | $1.37 | 10d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.490 | $1.58 | 12d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.194 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?No | sell | 5.86 | $0.220 | $1.29 | 16d ago |
 Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 18d ago |
 Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsOG | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.450 | $2.04 | 22d ago |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.900 | $2.09 | 22d ago |
 Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix GillFelix Gill | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.171 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 645.83 | $0.240 | $155 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.337 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.774 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No | sell | 1.95 | $0.999 | $1.95 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | sell | 25.9 | $0.043 | $1.11 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.744 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.081 | $2.21 | Jul 21, 2026 |