Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41%. Yes opened at 76.5% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 80.5% on 26 Aug 2026 and the low 41% on 28 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 41% on 28 Aug 2026. $281.15K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 28 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 76.5% |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 41.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| strengthinnumbers | No | 13.35K |
| Shady-Curse | No | 10K |
| Moycor | No | 6.04K |
| FTX2.0 | No | 5.97K |
| tsihkodiives | No | 5K |
| TryingToNotLose | No | 3.17K |
| dovetail | No | 2.6K |
| CriptoDadz | No | 1K |
| superman110 | No | 999.43 |
| ABCnews | No | 500 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-august-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
