Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 31% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 133 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 1 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 17.5% on 26 May 2026. $150.89K traded over the market's life.
165 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 3:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 133 points, 21 May 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 31.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 7.5K |
| Chandaria | Yes | 6.67K |
| Fefe12355 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-ipo-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 5.95K |
| WindsonC | Yes | 3.91K |
| acal | Yes | 1K |
| Winry | Yes | 943.03 |
| Healthy-Acre-Warmth | Yes | 830.77 |
| Emerald Scout EF69 | Yes | 782.85 |
| Scornful-Astrolabe | Yes | 595.52 |
| Lesivv | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
