
Resolved No on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53.5%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 23 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 46.5% on 26 Aug 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 24 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 41.5% on 25 Aug 2026. $87.2K traded over the market's life.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 5:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | 35.5% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 31.61K |
| dz1ft | Yes | 7.16K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 4.01K |
| smalltimezzz | Yes | 3.28K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-24-august-26-2026
| Keen Atlas 7F72 | Yes | 3K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 2.17K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 2.15K |
| BikesAreTheBikes | Yes | 1.87K |
| ERA84 | Yes | 1.11K |
| sadewax | Yes | 1K |
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