Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?No | buy | 301.54 | $0.995 | $300 | Mar 14, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 46.42 |
| $0.965 |
| $44.8 |
| Jan 12, 2026 |
Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No | buy | 120.36 | $0.997 | $120 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 62.97 | $0.937 | $59 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 11.38 | $0.993 | $11.3 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.920 | $13.5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?No | buy | 12.7 | $0.976 | $12.4 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| buy | 13.88 | $0.987 | $13.7 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?No | buy | 16.46 | $0.978 | $16.1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will TikTok be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?No | buy | 14.69 | $0.980 | $14.4 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?No | buy | 20.13 | $0.994 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Half-Life 3 released in 2025?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.993 | $19 | Dec 14, 2025 |
US civil war in 2025?No | buy | 15.03 | $0.998 | $15 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 18.11 | $0.994 | $18 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 22.04 | $0.998 | $22 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 19.04 | $0.998 | $19 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| buy | 18.4 | $0.978 | $18 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 23.12 | $0.995 | $23 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 24?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.840 | $16 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $300 in November?No | buy | 16.52 | $0.999 | $16.5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 19.92 | $0.984 | $19.6 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 22.62 | $0.933 | $21.1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 45.77 | $0.260 | $11.9 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?No | buy | 18.12 | $0.994 | $18 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 18.24 | $0.987 | $18 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?Yes | buy | 20.94 | $0.955 | $20 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No | buy | 18.31 | $0.983 | $18 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 24.72 | $0.890 | $22 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?No | buy | 17.69 | $0.961 | $17 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 20.96 | $0.954 | $20 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 17.71 | $0.960 | $17 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 227.27 | $0.293 | $66.64 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.6 | $0.985 | $33.1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 45.74 | $0.940 | $43 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?No | buy | 36.44 | $0.988 | $36 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | buy | 31.79 | $0.975 | $31 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end before October 15?No | buy | 38.17 | $0.969 | $37 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?Yes | buy | 27.24 | $0.991 | $27 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 27.05 | $0.998 | $27 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?No | buy | 30.21 | $0.993 | $30 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 34.1 | $0.997 | $34 | Oct 12, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 46.03 | $0.630 | $29 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.044 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 202.02 | $0.990 | $200 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?No | buy | 40.5 | $0.991 | $40.13 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Wolves win on 2025-08-16?No | buy | 71.05 | $0.860 | $61.1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?No | buy | 67.2 | $0.997 | $67 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 202.02 | $0.990 | $200 | Aug 16, 2025 |