Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 23% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 1.6% on 20 Nov 2025. $518.41K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 23.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gemini-3pt0-flash-released-by-december-31
| Hearty-Cyclone | Yes | 4.64K |
| hjegeorge | Yes | 1.47K |
| Muffled-Sweat | Yes | 1.27K |
| Coarse-Harpooner | Yes | 1.25K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.15K |
| whatdoyousay5565 | Yes | 1.1K |
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