Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 49% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 54 daily closes on record from 11 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 49% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 11% on 12 Dec 2025. $40.68K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 11 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Beaulieusurmer | Yes | 2.13K |
| Richgoddess2 | Yes | 909.49 |
| masev | Yes | 600 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) unfollows Grimes (@Grimezsz) on X at any point between December 10, 2025, 2PM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If either of the ‘@elonmusk’ or ‘@Grimezsz’ X accounts are deleted or disabled this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk X account (@elonmusk), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-unfollow-grimes-by-january-31
| Yes |
| 500 |
| Quiet Voyager A460 | Yes | 500 |
| roytagliaferro | Yes | 482.79 |
| ElVoWe | Yes | 222.47 |
| JakeBeez | Yes | 150 |
| TonyEsse | Yes | 139.49 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 129.94 |
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