Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.120 | $27.08 | -$22.92 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.036 | $10 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 800 |
| $0.025 |
| $18.8 |
| -$1.2 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | 754.49 | $0.053 | $17.35 | -$22.65 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 105.26 | $0.190 | $7.53 | -$12.47 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.240 | $5 | -$15 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 105.26 | $0.190 | $3.53 | -$16.47 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $1.37 | -$3.63 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 91.51 | $0.546 | $0.23 | -$49.77 |
| buy |
| 754.49 |
| $0.053 |
| $40 |
| Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?No | buy | 22.52 | $0.888 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.025 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Google Gemini ParlayYes | buy | 459.49 | $0.218 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.050 | $30 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 91.51 | $0.546 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 148.34 | $0.202 | $30 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?Yes | buy | 276.6 | $0.362 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes | buy | 522.77 | $0.191 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | sell | 60.6 | $0.981 | $59.45 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | sell | 248.47 | $0.040 | $9.94 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 260.92 | $0.077 | $20 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.211 | $240 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 108.3 | $0.923 | $100 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Yes | buy | 446.5 | $0.896 | $400 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?Yes | buy | 143.44 | $0.697 | $100 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.213 | $40 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?Mamdani | sell | 100.89 | $0.998 | $100.69 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?Yes | buy | 261.4 | $0.383 | $100 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?No | buy | 177.17 | $0.113 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Vikings vs. ChargersVikings | buy | 358.97 | $0.390 | $140 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?No | buy | 139.13 | $0.144 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.066 | $74.75 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 147.05 | $0.720 | $105.88 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 796.15 | $0.126 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.088 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?No | buy | 617.28 | $0.081 | $50 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?Mamdani | buy | 100.89 | $0.545 | $55 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 No Cut OctoberYes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 556.31 | $0.180 | $100 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 183.55 | $0.545 | $100 | Oct 12, 2025 |