Latest trade
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:46 AM UTC.
Analytics
low-prob-test-1-kes is down $424.46 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 31 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:46 AM UTC.
$17.79 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 28 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Sep 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 104.47 | $0.370 | $60.59 | +$21.94 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | buy | 96.46 | $0.477 | $46 | 13d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 04:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 11:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 11:46 UTC
polymarket positions
32 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 04:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $433.45 and losing ones cost $148.23 across 31 settled positions. 48.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $83.36 on “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential…” (Yes); the largest loss, $42.52 on “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Oct 2026. It has traded 130 markets. Its open positions are worth $981.78 across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 240.23 |
| $0.210 |
| $60.06 |
| +$9.61 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | No | 113.76 | $0.335 | $58.98 | +$20.87 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 258.04 | $0.171 | $57.93 | +$13.81 |
 Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 112.08 | $0.340 | $56.04 | +$17.93 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 183.58 | $0.210 | $45.9 | +$7.34 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 138.6 | $0.280 | $40.19 | +$1.39 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 106.94 | $0.360 | $39.03 | +$0.53 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | No | 142.01 | $0.270 | $38.34 | +$0 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 263.63 | $0.167 | $38.23 | -$5.8 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 100.72 | $0.380 | $33.74 | -$4.53 |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 124.48 | $0.290 | $30.5 | -$5.6 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? | Yes | 196.11 | $0.190 | $28.44 | -$8.83 |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 70.47 | $0.176 | $26.74 | +$14.34 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 102.94 | $0.340 | $26.25 | -$8.75 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 103.77 | $0.160 | $25.42 | +$8.82 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.300 | $23.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 116.7 | $0.310 | $21.59 | -$14.59 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 143.12 | $0.270 | $20.75 | -$17.89 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96.77 | $0.310 | $19.84 | -$10.16 |
 Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 272.73 | $0.110 | $19.09 | -$10.91 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.160 | $17.5 | +$6.07 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 128.32 | $0.300 | $16.68 | -$21.81 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 143.44 | $0.160 | $15.85 | -$7.07 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58.27 | $0.190 | $14.28 | +$3.2 |
| buy |
| 124.48 |
| $0.290 |
| $36.1 |
| 15d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 116.7 | $0.310 | $36.18 | 15d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes | buy | 30.47 | $0.190 | $5.79 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.190 | $19.76 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes | buy | 11.64 | $0.190 | $2.21 | 18d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.313 | $20 | 19d ago |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.300 | $10.5 | 20d ago |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 93.32 | $0.300 | $28 | 20d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.35 | $0.270 | $24.39 | 20d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.77 | $0.270 | $14.25 | 20d ago |
 Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | 20d ago |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 64.27 | $0.154 | $9.9 | 20d ago |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.154 | $2.31 | 20d ago |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.154 | $7.7 | 20d ago |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 114.45 | $0.154 | $17.63 | 20d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 166.64 | $0.390 | $64.99 | 21d ago |
 Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes | buy | 100.44 | $0.190 | $19.08 | 21d ago |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No | buy | 113.76 | $0.335 | $38.11 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 166.82 | $0.210 | $35.03 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No | buy | 142.01 | $0.270 | $38.34 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.76 | $0.210 | $3.52 | 24d ago |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 112.08 | $0.340 | $38.11 | 24d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 100.72 | $0.380 | $38.27 | 24d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 106.94 | $0.360 | $38.5 | 24d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 138.6 | $0.280 | $38.81 | 24d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 117.27 | $0.330 | $38.7 | 24d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 133.73 | $0.290 | $38.78 | 24d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 211.72 | $0.180 | $38.11 | 24d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 104.47 | $0.370 | $38.65 | 24d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | 26d ago |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 50.46 | $0.150 | $7.57 | 29d ago |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.150 | $0.62 | 29d ago |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | Sep 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | buy | 61.95 | $0.176 | $10.9 | Sep 25, 2026 UTC |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Under | sell | 70.91 | $0.996 | $70.63 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | buy | 8.52 | $0.176 | $1.5 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 240.22 | $0.250 | $60.06 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 85.51 | $0.210 | $17.96 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.73 | $0.210 | $1.83 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.210 | $0.27 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.210 | $0.27 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.210 | $0.27 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.210 | $0.27 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.18 | $0.210 | $0.46 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.