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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.910 | $5.17 | +$0.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
French election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.55 | $0.986 | $2.51 | May 14, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 5.54 |
| $0.850 |
| $4.79 |
| +$0.08 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | No | 4.21 | $0.949 | $4.19 | +$0.19 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.41 | $0.930 | $4.17 | +$0.07 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3.72 | $0.887 | $3.39 | +$0.09 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 3.08 | $0.910 | $3.02 | +$0.22 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 3.05 | $0.985 | $3 | -$0 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 0.98 | $0.870 | $0.97 | +$0.12 |
| buy |
| 3.19 |
| $0.940 |
| $3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.982 | $3.5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.922 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.949 | $4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.960 | $3.98 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | sell | 2.39 | $0.900 | $2.15 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.910 | $2.8 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.982 | $4.95 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | sell | 0.78 | $0.880 | $0.69 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $75 on April 2?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.910 | $3.65 | Apr 2, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.940 | $2.8 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?No | sell | 2.67 | $0.997 | $2.66 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.975 | $2.15 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.978 | $1.26 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.986 | $4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will BNB reach $800 in March?No | buy | 3.81 | $0.976 | $3.72 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the March meeting?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.978 | $2.04 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 22?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.999 | $3.06K | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21?No | buy | 221.2 | $0.995 | $220.09 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21?No | buy | 140 | $0.995 | $139.3 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21?No | buy | 471.36 | $0.994 | $468.53 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.996 | $2.99K | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 22?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.997 | $3.06K | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.999 | $3.06K | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 21?Yes | buy | 3.08K | $0.999 | $3.07K | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.956 | $4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 22?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.997 | $2.95K | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.870 | $3.61 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.850 | $4.71 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 3.72 | $0.887 | $3.3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.880 | $1.78 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.985 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.961 | $2.68 | Mar 13, 2026 |
French election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.940 | $2.4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 3.59 | $0.976 | $3.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 7.56 | $0.967 | $7.31 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.11 | $0.690 | $2.84 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 5?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.12 | $0.680 | $2.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?No | sell | 6.55 | $0.900 | $5.9 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No | sell | 4.55 | $0.862 | $3.92 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 7.06 | $0.999 | $7.05 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.900 | $4.91 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 7.56 | $0.965 | $7.3 | Feb 27, 2026 |