Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 64% on 23 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 231 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70.5% on 27 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 34.5% on 10 Jan 2026. $102.52K traded over the market's life.
146 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 231 points, 23 Oct 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2025 | 64.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| labistiiia | Yes | 999.99 |
| norealtime | Yes | 994.88 |
| ACara | Yes | 895.76 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/french-election-called-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Florus | Yes | 891.67 |
| 2manning | Yes | 636 |
| Uptorag | Yes | 369.39 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 250 |
| captain-levi | Yes | 200 |
| 2Tens | No | 182.3 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
