Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.938 | $195.3 | +$7.7 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.700 | $42 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.923 |
| $191.1 |
| +$6.5 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.700 | $47.7 | +$5.7 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 110 | $0.263 | $31.35 | +$2.45 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.340 | $21.3 | +$0.9 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $17.33 | +$12.83 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 600 | $0.017 | $5.1 | -$5.1 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.239 | $2.05 | -$21.85 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | Yes | 18.84 | $0.150 | $1.51 | -$1.32 |
| buy |
| 70 |
| $0.270 |
| $18.9 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.017 | $10.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 47.89 | $0.260 | $12.45 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.660 | $25.74 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 70 | $0.910 | $63.7 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.87 | $0.340 | $4.04 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.938 | $187.6 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | buy | 99.7 | $0.320 | $31.9 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.923 | $184.6 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.370 | $14.8 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 48.89 | $0.630 | $30.8 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?Yes | buy | 47.7 | $0.680 | $32.43 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.030 | $18 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.159 | $31.8 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.136 | $27.2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 293.88 | $0.068 | $20 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.338 | $33.76 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.892 | $89.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 70.01 | $0.724 | $50.69 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.540 | $21.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 7.88 | $0.118 | $0.93 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: FebruaryNothing | buy | 60 | $0.880 | $52.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.117 | $2.69 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.570 | $22.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 23.52 | $0.920 | $21.64 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 30 | $0.580 | $17.4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 30 | $0.320 | $9.6 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 French election called by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.340 | $30.6 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.580 | $23.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.880 | $52.8 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.910 | $63.7 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.820 | $49.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionYes | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.260 | $20.8 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.828 | $41.4 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.390 | $31.2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.677 | $33.16 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.307 | $30.7 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 90 | $0.900 | $81 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| French election called by December 31?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.920 | $27.88 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.720 | $50.4 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?90k | buy | 121.49 | $0.329 | $40 | Nov 5, 2025 |