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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? | No | 217.29 | $0.764 | $216.75 | +$50.8 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.150 | $22.5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.490 |
| $101 |
| +$3 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.750 | $93 | +$18 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 80 | $0.836 | $75.2 | +$8.31 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 366 | $0.212 | $67.71 | -$9.93 |
 Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? | No | 90 | $0.690 | $63 | +$0.9 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 91.4 | $0.124 | $57.35 | +$46.03 |
 Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 70.97 | $0.385 | $55.85 | +$28.55 |
 Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 100 | $0.490 | $53 | +$4 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 111.4 | $0.188 | $33.42 | +$12.5 |
 Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.140 | $21 | -$6.9 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.617 | $17.5 | -$44.16 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | Yes | 350.21 | $0.146 | $15.76 | -$35.29 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | No | 100 | $0.498 | $14.5 | -$35.27 |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.150 | $12.75 | -$9.75 |
| Will Jean Silva be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.780 | $9.94 | +$2.14 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.214 | $8.85 | -$12.55 |
 Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.347 | $6.65 | -$17.68 |
 Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.300 | $4.65 | +$3.15 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.480 | $1.62 | -$12.78 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.150 | $1.25 | -$13.75 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 113 | $0.166 | $1.19 | -$17.57 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.265 | $1 | -$1.65 |
 Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.028 | $0.75 | -$6.25 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.033 | $0.35 | -$2.91 |
| sell |
| 166 |
| $0.260 |
| $43.16 |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
 Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.007 | $2.54 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.006 | $2.02 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 91.4 | $0.124 | $11.32 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.400 | $48 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.023 | $2.3 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 14?No | buy | 130 | $0.930 | $120.9 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 10?Yes | buy | 58.61 | $0.194 | $11.35 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 10?No | buy | 51 | $0.460 | $23.46 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 8?No | buy | 95.51 | $0.860 | $82.14 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No | buy | 30.8 | $0.290 | $8.93 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.316 | $31.61 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.308 | $46.15 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.216 | $21.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 26?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.740 | $7.41 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on February 25?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.278 | $13.88 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | buy | 81.75 | $0.616 | $50.35 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 24?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Fano be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No | buy | 60 | $0.670 | $40.2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 24?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.300 | $75 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 29 | $0.830 | $24.07 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on February 22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.070 | $0.14 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.420 | $3.78 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.110 | $1.39 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 20?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.135 | $13.65 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 19?No | buy | 30 | $0.827 | $24.82 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 20?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 18?Yes | buy | 51.5 | $0.130 | $6.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 18?No | buy | 47.88 | $0.790 | $37.83 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 18?No | buy | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 18?No | buy | 89.3 | $0.840 | $75.01 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.850 | $31.45 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.860 | $85.99 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 17?No | buy | 40 | $0.815 | $32.59 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 17?No | buy | 60 | $0.790 | $47.4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 17?No | buy | 95.18 | $0.768 | $73.06 | Feb 17, 2026 |