Analytics
Yes is at 32%, down 19 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
The high was 54% on 18 Aug 2026 and the low 12% on 26 Jun 2026. A week ago Yes was at 33.5%; a month ago, 33%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 52.5% on 8 Jul 2026.
It is one of 26 markets under “Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?”.
$1.56K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $846.41, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 68 trades, $287.67 bought Yes and $249.58 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 88888888888888888 with 188 shares; the largest No position is ooops with 194. Ten wallets hold 88.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 74 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 19, 6:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 272 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 19 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 32.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ooops | No | 193.91 |
| 88888888888888888 | Yes | 188.33 |
| YoelRomeroMMA | No | 129.81 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-become-a-ufc-champion-in-2026
14 more markets, none above 3.5%.
| Knowledgeable-Degree |
| Yes |
| 100.02 |
| Redgoldsnapper | No | 90 |
| BuD | No | 72.01 |
| Venimous | Yes | 65.69 |
| Medical-Way | Yes | 55.38 |
| AJSV | Yes | 36.4 |
| banan | No | 29.63 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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