Analytics
Yes is at 2%, down 55 points from 57% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
Across the 272 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61% on 18 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%; a month before, 3.4%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 50.1% on 29 Apr 2026.
Diego Lopes ranks 20th of the 26 outcomes in “Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?”. Magomed Ankalaev leads at 11.7%; Sergei Pavlovich is at 10.5%.
$5.67 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.45K since listing. The order book holds $767.84, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 76 trades, $354.17 bought Yes and $3.27K bought No.
The largest Yes position is DumplingBMF with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR with 887. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 272 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 57.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DumplingBMF | Yes | 1.11K |
| PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR | No | 887.39 |
| ooops | No | 599.98 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-become-a-ufc-champion-in-2026
13 more outcomes, none above 4.0%.
| Vivacious-Blackfish |
| No |
| 382.05 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 375 |
| 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | No | 162.87 |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 119.36 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 102.72 |
| THEbookmaker | No | 100 |
| Voltoger | Yes | 68.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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