Analytics
Yes is at 5.5%, down 42 points from 47% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
Across the 287 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 18 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.8%; a month before, 7.9%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 10.5% on 2 Apr 2026.
Max Holloway ranks seventh of the 26 outcomes in “Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?”. Sergei Pavlovich leads at 10.5%; Alexander Volkov is at 10.3%.
$122.06 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $536.42, with a 8.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 45 shares; the largest No position is BuD with 56.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 287 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 47.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BuD | No | 55.98 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 45 |
| Avaricious-Realm | Yes | 5.98 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-become-a-ufc-champion-in-2026
14 more outcomes, none above 4.0%.
| makePace67 |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| romanew-10-0.5-sport | Yes | 2.31 |
| Iprs89 | No | 2.16 |
| Cosmic Signal BD30 | Yes | 1.34 |
| yzcs | No | 1.34 |
| saskesas | No | 0.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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