Analytics
Yes is at 6.9%, down 44 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
Across the 267 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (37 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 11 May 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.4%; a month before, 5.1%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 15.5% on 12 May 2026.
Magomed Ankalaev ranks fifth of the 26 outcomes in “Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?”. Sergei Pavlovich leads at 10.5%; Alexander Volkov is at 10.3%.
$1.41K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $577.93, with a 11.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $116.73 bought Yes and $429.05 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Ivory Atlas B8F8 with 239 shares; the largest No position is ooops with 358.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 267 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ooops | No | 358.36 |
| Ivory Atlas B8F8 | Yes | 238.89 |
| pref | Yes | 219.47 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-become-a-ufc-champion-in-2026
14 more outcomes, none above 4.0%.
| Manchild |
| No |
| 190.59 |
| lockinmma | No | 132.05 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 110 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 75.67 |
| saskesas | No | 32.33 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Yes | 25.4 |
| United-Cartel | Yes | 24.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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