Analytics
Yes is at 6.8%, down 39 points from 46% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
Across the 266 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 3.5% on 26 Jan 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 30.4% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 26 markets under “Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?”.
$12.23 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.21K since listing. The order book holds $2.09K, with a 4.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 54 trades, $204.6 bought Yes and $1.17K bought No; the largest was a $1K buy of No at 50.0¢.
The largest Yes position is ebk. with 2K shares; the largest No position is mousty with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 96.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 6:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 266 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 46.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 6.8% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-become-a-ufc-champion-in-2026
14 more markets, none above 3.9%.
| ooops |
| No |
| 490.94 |
| buislek | Yes | 137.44 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 108.76 |
| Anguished-Span | Yes | 101.96 |
| technician2 | No | 60.76 |
| Royal Pulse 84BE | Yes | 59.44 |
| Yoelmma | No | 52.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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