Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.870 | $6 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| buy |
| 11.52 |
| $0.260 |
| $3 |
| Sep 3, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.93 | $0.506 | $3 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 64.71 | $0.170 | $11 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 93.27 | $0.120 | $11.19 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.520 | $4.3 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.750 | $5.25 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.920 | $7.36 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.550 | $3.85 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.490 | $0.56 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.160 | $19.2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.057 | $0.57 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.090 | $16.2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.140 | $9.8 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 367.32 | $0.170 | $62.44 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.016 | $0.48 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 30 | $0.640 | $19.2 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 93.27 | $0.107 | $10 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.630 | $126 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $124K July 14–20?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.270 | $6.75 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.631 | $252.34 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.848 | $6.6 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 973.73 | $0.007 | $6.59 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jul 2, 2025 |