Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 15 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2025 to 21 Jul 2025, the highest close was 56.5% on 16 Jul 2025 and the lowest 1.3% on 21 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 37% on 17 Jul 2025. $230.17K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Jul 2025 – 21 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2025 | 44.5% |
| 21 Jul 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fomod | Yes | 2.84K |
| heuer | Yes | 600 |
| 50StackSteve | Yes | 500 |
| polymarketbetter | Yes | 476.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-14-21
| papokw | Yes | 454.55 |
| BigRobbo4 | Yes | 350.73 |
| RomkaBandit | Yes | 344.24 |
| S888 | Yes | 203.14 |
| DecisionLess | Yes | 103.45 |
| kissk1 | Yes | 100 |
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