Analytics
nelbal8486 has made $24.04K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 70.28K | $0.949 | $68.56K | +$1.84K |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-09 04:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
26 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 05:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 05:57 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 04:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $95.57K and losing ones cost $46.22K across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $42.48K on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $20.32K on “Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?” (Yes).
It has traded 151 markets. Its open positions are worth $101.08K across 26 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 7.41K |
| $0.690 |
| $7.21K |
| +$2.09K |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 7.08K | $0.646 | $4.14K | -$431.38 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.78K | $0.662 | $3.64K | -$2.17K |
 UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | No | 3.37K | $0.956 | $3.23K | +$4.38 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.18K | $0.823 | $2.88K | +$259.67 |
 Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | Yes | 3.2K | $0.712 | $1.84K | -$439 |
 Plague pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.67K | $0.966 | $1.64K | +$21.81 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 8K | $0.150 | $1.4K | +$200 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 8K | $0.150 | $1.08K | -$120 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 8K | $0.150 | $1.08K | -$119.98 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.915 | $1.03K | +$52.53 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 786 | $0.905 | $691.68 | -$19.58 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 792.25 | $0.770 | $637.76 | +$27.73 |
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | No | 623.35 | $0.730 | $473.75 | +$18.56 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 384.94 | $0.721 | $383.59 | +$105.87 |
 Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Yamal | 1.19K | $0.540 | $279.95 | -$363.33 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 773.27 | $0.167 | $216.52 | +$87.75 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.960 | $191.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 575.51 | $0.199 | $160.28 | +$45.86 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 466.89 | $0.234 | $121.86 | +$12.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.910 | $90.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? | Yes | 123.44 | $0.735 | $52.46 | -$38.24 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Kane | 50 | $0.710 | $41.5 | +$6 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | Yes | 50 | $0.530 | $3.43 | -$23.08 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
