Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.78 |
| $0.719 |
| $2 |
| Feb 17, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by February 28?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 14.52 | $0.080 | $1.16 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Swindon Town FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 23.07 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.988 | $1.27 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.340 | $0.72 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | May 31, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | sell | 115.13 | $0.999 | $115.01 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 115.14 | $0.800 | $92.11 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.49 | $0.900 | $4.94 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.961 | $1.41 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?Yes | sell | 5.66 | $0.330 | $1.87 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.977 | $1.59 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 No Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Sunday?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.613 | $1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | sell | 1.75 | $0.942 | $1.65 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 1.41 | $0.001 | $0 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.350 | $0.69 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | sell | 1.72 | $0.490 | $0.84 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Senate control after 2024 election?Democrats | sell | 1.13 | $0.150 | $0.17 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.940 | $1.8 | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.258 | $2.06 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.470 | $1.47 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 |