Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 118 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 69.5% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 33.5% on 11 Dec 2024. $327.21K traded over the market's life.
81 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 11:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 5 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 45.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rall | Yes | 3.29K |
| alox | Yes | 1.92K |
| thiccthugz | Yes | 1.12K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the perpetrator in the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson is identified, and it is confirmed that the identified individual was motivated by insurance claims involving UnitedHealthcare that were either delayed, denied, or had other issues by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the identified perpetrator and information released by law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/factcheck-brian-thompson-perp-motivated-by-denied-claims
| Yes |
| 1.1K |
| buyingdips | Yes | 1K |
| Violet Raven 13CC | Yes | 900 |
| Violet Pulse CDD9 | Yes | 900 |
| zeiferion | Yes | 869.7 |
| Ez12 | Yes | 786.03 |
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| | Yes | 210 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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