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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 73.24 |
| $0.060 |
| $4.39 |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.100 | $7 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.070 | $5.6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.070 | $1.75 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.100 | $9 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 107.8 | $0.080 | $8.62 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.200 | $16 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.510 | $6 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by December 31?Yes | sell | 97.64 | $0.070 | $6.83 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 22.97 | $0.370 | $8.5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?Yes | sell | 363.75 | $0.021 | $7.74 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 72.22 | $0.180 | $13 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.050 | $4 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 100.96 | $0.040 | $4.04 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.064 | $0.86 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 87.13 | $0.046 | $4 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.048 | $3 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Yes | sell | 283.13 | $0.019 | $5.48 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 255.05 | $0.023 | $5.87 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?Yes | sell | 943.56 | $0.002 | $1.6 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.160 | $14 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?Yes | sell | 322 | $0.050 | $16.1 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Russian strike on Poland by December 31?Yes | buy | 97.65 | $0.154 | $15 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.009 | $3.6 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | sell | 256.54 | $0.036 | $9.24 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 198.41 | $0.071 | $14 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 177.78 | $0.180 | $32 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?Yes | sell | 134.82 | $0.410 | $55.28 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | buy | 256.54 | $0.039 | $10 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.011 | $11 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 34.29 | $0.350 | $12 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.070 | $7.7 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 214.18 | $0.070 | $15 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?Yes | buy | 171.43 | $0.070 | $12 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | sell | 480 | $0.050 | $24 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?Yes | buy | 171.43 | $0.070 | $12 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.200 | $35 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 43.64 | $0.420 | $18.33 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Yes | sell | 268.29 | $0.060 | $16.1 | Sep 26, 2025 |